TheFragileBalanceofTerror

In The Fragile Balance of Terror, experts in nuclear policy and strategy provide insight into an era with more nuclear powers. This includes new powers that face domestic instability, are led by pathological personalist dictators, and are situated in highly unstable regions of the world. These variables create a volatile mix that contributes to the increasing fragility of deterrence.

作者简介

InTheFragileBalanceofTerror,theforemostexpertsonnuclearpolicyandstrategyofferinsightintoanerarifewithmorenuclearpowers.Someofthesenewpowerssufferdomesticinstability,othersareledbypathologicalpersonalistdictators,andmanyaresituatedinhighlyunstableregionsoftheworld―avolatilemixofvariables.Theincreasingfragilityofdeterrenceinthetwenty-firstcenturyiscreatedbyaconfluenceofforces:militarytechnologiesthatcreatevulnerablearsenals,anovelinformationecosystemthatrapidlytransmitsbothinformationandmisinformation,nuclearrivalriesthatincludethreeormorenuclearpowers,anddictatorialdecisionmakingthatencouragesrashchoices.ThenuclearthreatsposedbyIndia,Pakistan,Iran,andNorthKoreaarethusfraughtwithdanger.TheFragileBalanceofTerror,editedbyVipinNarangandScottD.Sagan,bringstogetheradiversecollectionofrigorousandcreativescholarswhoanalyzehowthenuclearlandscapeischangingfortheworse.Scholars,pundits,andpolicymakerswhothinkthatthespreadofnuclearweaponscancreatestableformsofnucleardeterrenceinthefuturewillbeforcedtothinkagain.Contributors:GilesDavidArceneaux,MarkS.Bell,ChristopherClary,PeterD.Feaver,JeffreyLewis,RoseMcDermott,NicholasL.Miller,VipinNarang,AnkitPanda,ScottD.Sagan,CaitlinTalmadge,HeatherWilliams,AmyZegart