《Thinking, Fast and Slow》速思速行解读脑海奥秘

1. Thinking, Fast and Slow

2. Base rate fallacy

3. Bayesian calculator

4. Less is more - joint fallacy

5. People tend to infer general from particular rather than deduce particular from general

6. Causal relationship than statistical significance

7. Risk of correcting system 1 (i.e. in VC)

8. Outcome bias

9. Educated guess no better than blind guess

10. When should we use formula (low validity environment, simple formula works better than complicated ones)

11. When can we use expert intuition (stable/regular environment)

12. Planning fallacy (outside view), optimism

13. Sunk cost fallacy

14. Bernoulli Utility Theory (no reference point)

15. Prospect Theory (adaptation level, diminishing sensitivity, loss aversion)

16. Endowment Effect (reference point, history matters)

17. Our brains always give priority to bad news. Not achieving a goal is a loss, exceeding the goal is again.

18. Fourfold Pattern (overweight low prob - possibility effect, underweight high prob - certainty effect)

19. Rare events (decision weight vs probability)

20. Risk policy (broad framing by considering a set of choices rather than looking at choices separately)

21. It is more painful if things go bad by deviating from default and by action (than non-action)

22. Single evaluation vs joint evaluation

23. You are more attached to description of reality rather than reality itself

24. Memory can be wrong due to duration neglect and the peak-end rule

25. I am the remembering self rather than experiencing self. Traveling is to construct stories and collect memory.

26. Life evaluation and life experience are different

27. Focus illusion is the source of miswanting. The mind is good with stories but not processing of time.